Euro / U.S. DollarShort
Downtrend confirmed, Double Top
Having recently explained my new 5-phase trend evaluation method I have identified the start of phase 3 (breakout and re-test) for EURUSD. This means we are expecting the market to re-test the MA's (i.e. 50 SMA or 100 SMA) and continue breaking lower as the trend reaches the maturation phase. For now, this means that a re-test of the area near the 50 SMA @ 1.188 is a very possible scenario followed by more breakouts lower and more re-tests of the 50 SMA. Since we are also seeing a possible large scale double top formation in place I expect this to be the start of a downtrend with a target of at least somewhere near 1.120 and the Yearly S1 @ 1.112
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