EUR/USD has extended more than 2.6% off the yearly highs with tight monthly & weekly opening-ranges preserved heading into today’s FOMC rate decision. The focus is on a breakout of the 1.1275-1.1420 range.
EUR/USD continues to trade within the confines of a descending pitchfork extending off the monthly highs. Initial support rests with the 2023 swing high at 1.1275 backed by the 2024 high at 1.1214. Ultimately, a break / close below the 100% extension at 1.1160 would be needed to suggest a more significant high was registered last month / a larger trend reversal is underway towards 1.1040.
Initial resistance is eyed with the upper parallel / 50% retracement at 1.1420 with critical resistance unchanged at the 100% extension / yearly high-day close (HDC) at 1.1510/14- a break / close above this threshold is needed to mark uptrend resumption with subsequent objectives eyed at the 1.16-handle and the 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1747- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: A reversal off uptrend resistance is now coiled just above trend support and the immediate focus is on a breakout into the close of the week. From at trading standpoint, any losses would need to be limited to 1.1160 for the February rally to remain viable with a close above 1.1514 needed to mark resumption.
-MB
EUR/USD continues to trade within the confines of a descending pitchfork extending off the monthly highs. Initial support rests with the 2023 swing high at 1.1275 backed by the 2024 high at 1.1214. Ultimately, a break / close below the 100% extension at 1.1160 would be needed to suggest a more significant high was registered last month / a larger trend reversal is underway towards 1.1040.
Initial resistance is eyed with the upper parallel / 50% retracement at 1.1420 with critical resistance unchanged at the 100% extension / yearly high-day close (HDC) at 1.1510/14- a break / close above this threshold is needed to mark uptrend resumption with subsequent objectives eyed at the 1.16-handle and the 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1747- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: A reversal off uptrend resistance is now coiled just above trend support and the immediate focus is on a breakout into the close of the week. From at trading standpoint, any losses would need to be limited to 1.1160 for the February rally to remain viable with a close above 1.1514 needed to mark resumption.
-MB
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.