The first scenario shows a more conservative and short term trade, but considering the general direction markets are heading as of now, (big hopes for a nice and easy reopening of the Eurozone) the second and bigger scenario is a more logic one. 
EURUSD
EURUSD
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.