The Day Ahead

119
Friday, April 11 – Market Movers
Macro Data Releases

US:
March PPI: Key inflation metric; will shape expectations for upcoming Fed decisions.

April University of Michigan Sentiment: Critical for gauging consumer confidence and inflation expectations—could move Treasuries and USD.

UK:
February GDP (m/m): Signals short-term growth trends; implications for GBP and BoE policy stance.

Japan:
March M2, M3: Measures of monetary supply; minor market mover but relevant for BoJ watchers.

Germany:
February Current Account Balance: Trade-driven indicator; may influence EUR depending on surplus/deficit surprise.

Central Bank Watch
Fed’s Williams and Musalem speak:

Markets will watch closely for any guidance on rate trajectory or balance sheet.

Hawkish/dovish tone could directly impact bond yields and USD positioning.

Earnings – Big Banks Lead Q1 Reports
JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, BlackRock

Key Focus for Traders
Paired with Fed speak, inflation data (PPI, Michigan inflation expectations) could drive rate volatility and USD.

Equity rotation within financials is underway—watch credit-sensitive and trading revenue trends.

FX: EUR and GBP are at risk from economic surprises; potential moves are tied to relative growth and trade flows.

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