Unemployment and Bond Data May Shake the Greenback

Today is expected to be a dynamic day for the Euro/Dollar pair, as unemployment rates and bond yields are due for release. Expectations point to a rise in unemployment figures, which is generating bearish market sentiment towards the US dollar. This sentiment is also reflected in the British pound, the New Zealand dollar and the Czech koruna. Although the figures are expected to be similar to the previous ones, but with a slight downward trend.

The pair has shown a steady progression in an ascending channel since the Christmas rally, peaking at USD 1.11390 and correcting to USD 1.07769 on February 5. Currently, the average trading range is around 1.08869 USD, according to the Volume Profile Visible Range indicator. Divergence RSI is showing signs of overbought at 61.83%, suggesting a possible continuation momentum to the bullish run. In addition, a double bounce is seen this week, on Monday and Tuesday, following the US and European PMI data.

We are likely to see two possible scenarios: a bullish continuation towards the checkpoint at 1.08869 USD or a decline towards 1.07614 USD, depending on the market reaction to today's data.

Ion Jauregui - AT Analyst



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