Interest Rates Are Falling, So Why Is the EUR/USD Declining?

Hello everyone,

Currently, the EUR/USD pair is trading with a slightly negative bias around 1.0360 in early Friday’s Asian session. The major currency pair remains defensive as the US Federal Reserve adopts a less dovish stance despite cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its December meeting on Wednesday.

In summary: The Fed’s hawkish tone has delivered its intended impact: the dollar has strengthened, and markets have weakened.

Today, all eyes are on the November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Meanwhile, the EU will release its preliminary estimate of December Consumer Confidence.

Technical Perspective:
After the initial decline, the price attempted to recover but faced resistance at key levels, highlighted by the blue liquidity zones on the chart. If the price fails to break through the liquidity zone at 1.03894, we could see further bearish pressure. The first target lies at 1.03502, and a break below this level could drive the price toward 1.03000, marking a significant move for the pair.

Wishing you all successful trades and great profits!
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