Starting the year, Eur/Usd was expected to reach the parity point of 1/1. This was mainly supported by the US election results and tariffs policy which were expected to give strength to the US dollar against other currency pairs, in addition to the rate-cut expectations of the ECB. The lowest point for Eur/Usd for this yes was in mid-Jan where it reached slightly lower than 1.02.
Currently with the depreciation of Usd due to the fear of recession, and the push in Eur supported by the German Fiscal policy which is expected to spend 500 billion on infra-structure and defense. Euro pair is trading at 1.09.
The below possible scenarios could take place:
• Breaking and retest above 1.095 could be the trigger to test the higher time-frame demand area at 1.12 • Breaking below 1.0925 could see a deeper pull-back to 1.08 • Breaking below 1.075 could lead to price retesting 1.063
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