Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

EURUSD - Flag Pattern Indicating a Futher Push

54
A pennant/flag pattern has been printed on the chart. Being a continuation pattern this is indicating a further move high on the price. Confirmation of this is with the Elliot Wave, though I will admit, I am not completely sold on this being a proper impulse wave, however, as per definition the 2-3 section of the wave is the strongest so far, and the 3-4 is the weakest pullback. I just dont like the duration of 3-4 relative to 1-2.

For the flag to be confirmed we need to wait for a pullback and retest of the price to the upper red trendline defining the flag. The pullback could go as far as the dotted blue line. A move above 1.43 indicates that the move is likely underway at a target at 1.69 seems most reasonable given its height relative to the 2-3 impulse wave. This would be a measured move up.

I would wait to enter the trade until the upper resistance level of 1.43 has been reached, holding a stop at the 1.37 level. This is a decent amount of risk, so I would probably reevaluate the actual stops and targets when I put the trade on.
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If it doesn't begin to move higher in a few hours I'd say the flag is invalidated.

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