The EUR/USD pair remained range-bound around 1.0850 in early European trading on Tuesday. The recent decline in the US Dollar, coupled with higher yields on US Treasury bonds, is providing support to this currency pair, although broader risk aversion sentiment is limiting its upward momentum. Attention is focused on US employment data and the ISM PMI.
The decline in EUR/USD found support around 1.0800, slipping below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and daily chart indicators indicating a bearish trend. After a more than 200-pip drop from recent highs, some consolidation appears to be in play.
On the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has stabilized after touching 30, suggesting consolidation. The MACD indicator continues to show negativity for the Euro, while Momentum is flat. The risk seems balanced, with a drop below 1.0790 opening up opportunities for further losses, while a positive move would require the Euro to reclaim 1.0900 to negate short-term bearishness.
The EUR/USD exchange rate fell for the fourth consecutive Monday, dropping below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The pair found support around the 1.0800 region. The US Dollar strengthened ahead of crucial US labor market data.
The pair continues to decline as the market anticipates that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates before the Federal Reserve (Fed) does. The Euro is decreasing after reaching levels above 1,1000 last week. This move seems somewhat exaggerated, and volatility is expected to remain high.
On Tuesday, Eurostat will release the Producer Price Index (PPI) for October, along with the final PMI indices. France and Spain will report Industrial Production for October.
The US Dollar broadly strengthened on Monday, starting the week under pressure but recovering strongly, supported by higher US Treasury yields ahead of key economic reports.
The highlight of the week in the US will be labor market data, starting with the JOLTS report and the ISM Services PMI. Towards the end of the week, the ADP Private Employment, Initial Jobless Claims, and Non-Farm Payrolls reports are expected to provide insights into a more balanced labor market.