Key Supply and Demand Zones: Demand Zones (Support): 1.2500 - 1.2475: Multiple tests of this area indicate significant buyer interest. This zone aligns with psychological support and the recent low. 1.2430 - 1.2400: Historical support zone where buyers stepped in during previous downtrends. Supply Zones (Resistance): 1.2550 - 1.2575: Overlapping with the 50 EMA on shorter timeframes, this area represents a near-term resistance zone. 1.2640 - 1.2650: Major supply zone reinforced by the 200 EMA on higher timeframes. Price will need significant bullish momentum to break above this level. Targets: Upside Targets: Target 1: 1.2550 (near-term resistance). Target 2: 1.2600 - 1.2640 (upper range and next key resistance). Downside Targets: Target 1: 1.2500 - 1.2475 (immediate demand zone). Target 2: 1.2430 - 1.2400 (next key support). Trade Scenarios: Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation Setup: Wait for a rejection near the 1.2550 - 1.2575 resistance zone. Entry: Short position around 1.2545 - 1.2560. Stop Loss: Above 1.2580. Take Profit: Target 1: 1.2500. Target 2: 1.2475. Reasoning: The pair remains in a downtrend with clear resistance at 1.2550. RSI and MACD are neutral-to-bearish, supporting the continuation of the trend. Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal Setup: Look for a bounce from the 1.2500 - 1.2475 demand zone. Entry: Long position near 1.2505 - 1.2485 (on confirmation like a bullish engulfing candle). Stop Loss: Below 1.2465. Take Profit: Target 1: 1.2550. Target 2: 1.2600. Reasoning: If the demand zone holds, the pair could retrace higher to test near-term resistance. Oversold RSI on smaller timeframes supports a potential bounce. Scenario 3: Breakout Play Setup: If the price breaks and closes above 1.2575. Entry: Long position above 1.2580. Stop Loss: Below 1.2550. Take Profit: Target 1: 1.2600. Target 2: 1.2640. Reasoning: A breakout above resistance would invalidate the bearish trend and signal a short-term reversal toward the next supply zone. Indicators to Watch: RSI: A divergence near key zones (e.g., higher lows on RSI while price forms lower lows) can signal reversals. MACD: Watch for crossovers near key zones for momentum confirmation. VWAP: Currently near 1.2529, acting as dynamic resistance. A break above this level would strengthen bullish momentum. Risk Management: Keep risk-to-reward ratio at 1:2 or better. Position sizing should account for stop-loss distance and overall account size.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.