- The market has been trading within an ascending channel since mid-February. The short-term trend, fueled by the growing prospect of rate cuts in the United States, is therefore bullish.
- Technically speaking, we can see that the surge in price since the rebound over 1.0700 has been very gradual, punctuated by very short-term correction phases, like a staircase.
The market has just validated its second flag figure, putting an end to a new very short-term consolidation.
The 13 and 21 period moving averages are still bullish, supporting the rise, while the RSI has just recorded a strong rebound at the crucial 50% zone.
- This is a bullish situation for the market. The validation of this second flag opens the way to a new short-term bullish potential towards 1.0993, 1.1015 or even higher.
The absence of bearish signs on technical indicators supports this scenario.
That said, a break of 1.0937 would invalidate this hypothesis.
Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades
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