The EUR/USD currency pair has recently undergone a significant development in its price movement. Specifically, it has formed a rising wedge pattern and subsequently experienced a sharp decline, currently resting at the 1.06435 mark. This has piqued the interest of traders, who are now seeking opportune moments to enter short positions in anticipation of further downward movement. In this analysis, we will explore two potential scenarios for entry opportunities while taking into consideration key resistance and support levels.
Scenario 1: Resistance-Based Entry
In the wake of the rising wedge breakdown, the EUR/USD pair finds itself trading at 1.06435, signaling a bearish sentiment in the market. It is essential for traders to closely monitor the 1.09632 price level as it represents a formidable resistance area.
An ideal entry point for a short (sell) position presents itself when the price either reaches or approaches the 1.09632 resistance level. This entry aligns with the expectation of a continuation of the downward trend, given the strong resistance at this point. Traders can set their initial target at 1.06457, which is expected to act as a support level.
Scenario 2: Support Breakdown Entry
Alternatively, if the EUR/USD price experiences a swift breakdown below the 1.06457 support level without testing the 1.09632 resistance, it indicates a substantial bearish momentum. After such a breakdown, it is common to witness a correction or retracement before further declines.
For traders, this correction phase presents another entry opportunity. One can consider entering a short position near the 1.05682 area during this corrective phase, anticipating a continuation of the downward trend. Similar to the first scenario, the target for this entry would also be set at 0.97340, aligning with the prevailing bearish sentiment.
Conclusion
In conclusion, traders in the EUR/USD market are urged to closely observe the evolving price action following the breakdown of the rising wedge pattern. Two potential entry scenarios have been highlighted in this analysis: one based on resistance testing at 1.09632 and the other on a swift support breakdown at 1.06457. It is crucial for traders to implement sound risk management strategies, including the use of stop-loss orders and proper position sizing, to maximize potential profits while minimizing losses when executing these trading strategies.