EURUSD, GBPUSD. DXY Weekly Forecast 22//04-26/04

EUR/USD

15/04-19/04 Review

Price tapped into Daily FVG+OB at 1.06000 creating equal lows with lowest being on Tuesday NY and LDN

We created a high on Thursday LDN partially filling in 4H FVG

With this week being a small range I expect next week to have some moves

Weekly Chart

We still have 1.05920 OB just below the equal lows formed this week, Equal lows will have stops rest below and the OB will have institutional sponsorship so i would like to see this being the low of week next week

Daily Chart

20 Day IPDA at a deep discount with Rebalanced range at 1.07800 that i expect to be taken out either this week or next week

News

Tuesday
We have a lot of news for EU
This is also Q2 for the week and Q2 on the day, Q2 being manipulation I am looking for this to be out low of week
NY has a red folder on this day as well witch I expect to be a move on the upside

Wednesday
We have orange folder nothing major

Thursday
Lots of red folder news this is also Q4 of week so a retracement may occur
Friday we also have PCE so i expect the week to finish strong

GBPUSD

Created high of week on Monday LDN and I expect this to be a draw on liquidity for GU

Low of week on Thursday

Quarterly Shift we have had down closes the last 4 month candle so i expect may to turn around

Weekly
Weekly range was very small and we are likely to close next to our open so I expect net week to be a big range

We have an OB just below us that I expect price to reach

Daily
On our Daily we have a liquidity void in the area of our Weekly OB

4H
We may see price jab into FVG that was not fully filled with short term stops being placed above old high

News

Tuesday Q3 of LDN we have red folder GU news

Tuesday we also have USD news

Thursday + Friday strong USD news


Seasonality

GU has a seasonal tendency to rally going into May and create the high of the year


SMT

GU created a lower low to EU higher low and DXYs lower high on Thursday
so I expect bias to be bullish going into next week with EU having the bigger push on the upside

Bias = LONG

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