🔍 EUR/USD – Technical Price Forecast
As of June 18, 2025
Current Price: 1.15040
Bias: Bearish (Short-term)
Timeframe Context: Likely 4H or Daily
🧩 Market Structure Breakdown
🔺 Trend Context
Primary Trend (recent weeks): Bullish impulse from early June
Current Phase: Retracement / potential reversal
⬇️ Recent Price Action
Lower highs forming (arrows mark swing failure at ~1.1650 and ~1.1600).
Price has broken market structure to the downside around 1.1550 with a strong bearish candle.
Current retracement is weak and corrective, lacking momentum.
📐 Key Technical Levels
Level Type Observation
1.1650 Resistance Swing high / aggressive rejection
1.1600 Resistance Lower high + supply zone
1.1550 Supply zone Breakdown area
1.1500 Current zone Minor consolidation
1.1450–1.1400 Demand zone Prior accumulation zone (support)
1.1350 Next support Clean inefficiency below
📉 Liquidity & Order Flow Insight
Sell-side liquidity likely rests below 1.1400.
The recent bullish pullback appears to be a liquidity grab, not a reversal.
Imbalance created by recent bearish move remains unfilled.
📊 Candlestick Behavior
Strong bearish engulfing candle on the move from 1.1550 to 1.1480 indicates supply absorption.
Current candles are corrective and small-bodied — suggesting weak buying and potential continuation down.
🔮 Price Prediction / Forecast
Time Horizon Forecast Summary
Short-term (1–3 days) Expect minor bullish retracement to 1.1530–1.1550, followed by rejection.
Medium-term (3–7 days) Breakdown toward 1.1450, targeting liquidity below support zone.
Extended scenario If 1.1400 breaks cleanly, expect a drop toward 1.1350 and possibly 1.1300 as next support.
📌 Invalidation Level: A daily close above 1.1600 would invalidate this bearish scenario and imply further upside potential.
🧠 Strategy Implications (Pro Traders)
Sell the rally into 1.1530–1.1550 supply with stops above 1.1600.
Take profit levels:
TP1: 1.1450
TP2: 1.1400
TP3 (extension): 1.1350
Risk Management:
Risk-to-reward ratio ≥ 2:1. Confirm entry with bearish price action on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H).
⚠️ Macro Consideration
Multiple economic events approaching (U.S. and EU flags shown) — expect volatility. Hold trades cautiously around high-impact news.
As of June 18, 2025
Current Price: 1.15040
Bias: Bearish (Short-term)
Timeframe Context: Likely 4H or Daily
🧩 Market Structure Breakdown
🔺 Trend Context
Primary Trend (recent weeks): Bullish impulse from early June
Current Phase: Retracement / potential reversal
⬇️ Recent Price Action
Lower highs forming (arrows mark swing failure at ~1.1650 and ~1.1600).
Price has broken market structure to the downside around 1.1550 with a strong bearish candle.
Current retracement is weak and corrective, lacking momentum.
📐 Key Technical Levels
Level Type Observation
1.1650 Resistance Swing high / aggressive rejection
1.1600 Resistance Lower high + supply zone
1.1550 Supply zone Breakdown area
1.1500 Current zone Minor consolidation
1.1450–1.1400 Demand zone Prior accumulation zone (support)
1.1350 Next support Clean inefficiency below
📉 Liquidity & Order Flow Insight
Sell-side liquidity likely rests below 1.1400.
The recent bullish pullback appears to be a liquidity grab, not a reversal.
Imbalance created by recent bearish move remains unfilled.
📊 Candlestick Behavior
Strong bearish engulfing candle on the move from 1.1550 to 1.1480 indicates supply absorption.
Current candles are corrective and small-bodied — suggesting weak buying and potential continuation down.
🔮 Price Prediction / Forecast
Time Horizon Forecast Summary
Short-term (1–3 days) Expect minor bullish retracement to 1.1530–1.1550, followed by rejection.
Medium-term (3–7 days) Breakdown toward 1.1450, targeting liquidity below support zone.
Extended scenario If 1.1400 breaks cleanly, expect a drop toward 1.1350 and possibly 1.1300 as next support.
📌 Invalidation Level: A daily close above 1.1600 would invalidate this bearish scenario and imply further upside potential.
🧠 Strategy Implications (Pro Traders)
Sell the rally into 1.1530–1.1550 supply with stops above 1.1600.
Take profit levels:
TP1: 1.1450
TP2: 1.1400
TP3 (extension): 1.1350
Risk Management:
Risk-to-reward ratio ≥ 2:1. Confirm entry with bearish price action on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H).
⚠️ Macro Consideration
Multiple economic events approaching (U.S. and EU flags shown) — expect volatility. Hold trades cautiously around high-impact news.
Trade active
Trade ActiveNote
Price hit half TP as forecasted. Setup still valid while above support. Watching for continuation toward full target.Trade closed manually
Forex Market Analyst | XAU/USD Specialist
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Forex Market Analyst | XAU/USD Specialist
. VIP Signal Channel for Premium Insights
. Comprehensive Forex Mentorship Program
. Affiliate Program for growth-driven partners
Join Our Telegram t.me/Goldsignalspro12
. VIP Signal Channel for Premium Insights
. Comprehensive Forex Mentorship Program
. Affiliate Program for growth-driven partners
Join Our Telegram t.me/Goldsignalspro12
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.