EUR/USD Analysis
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Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on EUR/USD, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels
The chart highlights several significant levels and zones that influence the current market behavior:
• PMH & PML: Previous Month High and Low, serving as significant resistance and support levels.
• PWH & PWL: Previous Week High and Low, indicating recent market highs and lows.
• Daily FVG: Daily Fair Value Gap, indicating areas of market imbalance.
• BSL: Buy-side Liquidity, areas where buy orders are placed.
📊 Key Considerations
• Current Price Position: The price is currently trading around 1.0883, having recently taken out both the previous week high (PWH) and previous month high (PMH).
• Retracement Zone: The price is expected to retrace back into the buy-side liquidity (BSL) and the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) below the current level.
• Lower Levels: There are additional lower levels marked out, such as the previous week low (PWL) and the daily FVG, that may come into play if the retracement extends further.
📈 Bullish Scenario
Given the recent price action and key considerations, a bullish scenario is favored if the following conditions are met:
• Retracement into BSL and FVG: The price retraces back into the buy-side liquidity (BSL) and the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), providing a potential entry point for long positions.
• Continuation Higher: After the retracement, the price continues higher, potentially targeting new highs or previous resistance levels.
• Lower Time Frame Confirmation: Look for bullish price action on lower time frames (e.g., 1-hour or 15-minute chart), such as a breakout above minor resistance or bullish candlestick patterns, to confirm entry points.
📉 Bearish Scenario
While the current sentiment appears bullish, a bearish scenario should also be considered:
• Failure to Hold BSL and FVG: If the price fails to hold above the buy-side liquidity (BSL) and the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), it may revisit lower support levels such as the previous week low (PWL).
• Short-term High on Lower Time Frame: Look for the price to take out a short-term high on a lower time frame, acting as minor buy-side liquidity, before starting a downward move.
• Continuation Lower: After taking out the buy-side liquidity, the price may start a downward move, potentially revisiting the lower levels marked out on the chart.
🔄 Lower Time Frame Confirmation
For both bullish and bearish scenarios, using lower time frame confirmations can enhance the trade setup:
• Creating Low Resistance Liquidity: Look for the creation of low resistance buy-side or sell-side liquidity zones on lower time frames (e.g., 1-hour or 15-minute chart).
📊 Chart Analysis Summary
The price has recently taken out both the previous week high (PWH) and the previous month high (PMH), suggesting a potential retracement. The expectation is for the price to retrace back into the buy-side liquidity (BSL) and the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) below the current level. This retracement zone could provide a potential entry point for long positions, targeting higher levels once again. For a bearish scenario, the price needs to fail to hold the BSL and FVG, potentially revisiting lower levels such as the previous week low (PWL). Understanding these key levels and the current market behavior helps in making informed trading decisions.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
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⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.