EURUSD Assessing great risk and great potential
Updated
On the interest rate front: Market investors believe this conflict, the largest war Europe has faced since World War II, will prevent the ECB from taking any strong tightening moves in the near term. Also, the Fed is expected to have a 95% chance of raising rates by 25 basis points at its March meeting, and the invasion ended market investors' speculation that the Fed would raise rates by 50 basis points.
Economic: As the war is escalating and has not yet eased, there will be a certain degree of impact on the economies of various countries, especially the European economies will inevitably be dragged down by it.
The euro against the U.S. dollar has seen the bottom put up some time ago, when the war had not yet broken out. Conflicts are also stimulated because of the accumulation of long-term disagreements, Russia through the impact of the war to try to change the current unfavorable pattern, perhaps Europe will pay a heavy price of economic losses. In the short to medium term, I am bearish on EURUSD.
Economic: As the war is escalating and has not yet eased, there will be a certain degree of impact on the economies of various countries, especially the European economies will inevitably be dragged down by it.
The euro against the U.S. dollar has seen the bottom put up some time ago, when the war had not yet broken out. Conflicts are also stimulated because of the accumulation of long-term disagreements, Russia through the impact of the war to try to change the current unfavorable pattern, perhaps Europe will pay a heavy price of economic losses. In the short to medium term, I am bearish on EURUSD.
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