Euro / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

EURUSD High‑Probability Trade Setup

45
1️⃣ EUR/USD 🇪🇺/🇺🇸
Price: 1.1303
Yahoo Finance

HTF Trend: Bearish (Weekly↓, Daily↓) ✅ Trend‑Aligned

Fundamental Context: ECB Governing Council informal retreat in Porto on May 6–7 could spark volatility if hawkish tweaks are signaled
Reuters
. US NFP printed 177K on May 2, beating forecasts and bolstering USD into the weekend
Investing.com
.

Key Zones (H4):

Supply/Resistance: 1.1340 (weekly supply + order block)

Demand/Support: 1.1260 (daily demand zone)

Entry Trigger:

Break & retest of 1.1340 on H4

Confirmation: M15 bearish engulfing + volume ↑ ≥ 25%
FXStreet

Stop Loss: 1.1360 (≈ 1.3×ATR 20 pips)

Take Profits:

TP1: 1.1260 (2 R ≈ 40 pips)

TP2: 1.1220 (3 R ≈ 60 pips)

Timing & News Filter:

Avoid new entries around ECB retreat sessions May 6 08:00–18:00 UTC
Reuters

Ideal entry: London Open 3:00–7:00 EST

Confluence Score: 5/5 → Confidence: 9/10
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