EURUSD 27 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 Weekly Analysis - Inflation US & EUR

Updated

This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 127 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:

Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events

Weekly Chart Analysis

https://www.tradingview.com/x/6Ait7cCq/

1.

Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ

After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low.

Price had fully mitigated the weekly supply (FLIP Zone and swept the Liq above the zone by not fully closing the candle above. Still it could be a sweep of liq if we started to see pushes to the down side and structure changes on TF lower than the Weekly TF.
Price could be targeting the Supply zone at the INT Structure High to continue bearish as long TFs lower supports that.

Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down

Daily Chart Analysis

https://www.tradingview.com/x/gwacNXVS/

1.

Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
Reached EQ

After BOS we expect a pullback
OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and we reached the INT bearish Structure Extreme.

Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure where price swept the Liq above and created a Bullish CHoCH on the Weekly TF.
As price currently didn't close above the INT High, there is a probability that this could be a Sweep of LIq to continue down.
To Confirm that Sweep concept we want to see at least a Bearish CHoCH which will be a Break of Structure on 4H which will support the concept and with that we can play Shorts.
But also be mindful that OF is in Strong bullish move and playing against it without confirmation will be rough.
Let's watch LTF to guide us.

4H Chart Analysis

https://www.tradingview.com/x/LwexaXxC/

1.

Swing Bullish
INT Bullish

Swing low and last demand for potential buys.

After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS.
Price reached the extreme of the Bullish INT Structure and we may react only from there as our expectations is to reach (And maybe extend above) the Weak INT HIgh. So the current supply there may provide some bearish reaction, but our expectations on the 4H TF is to continue up.
But keep in mind that the bearish scenario we have from the Weekly and Daily could be starting from this area or a bit higher. In all ways, bearish scenario will be confirmed with bearish structure formation which we don't have till now.
So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation.

Economic Events for the Week

Note

Don't know why the Economic Events link didn't show, but here is the list.

Economic Events for the Week :

Amr-Sadek

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