eur/usd H1

40
**H1 Time Frame**

The market, after a breakout cycle, is currently rising within an ascending channel.

**Context:**
- On the daily time frame, the market is in the upper half of the trading range.
- Within an ascending channel, there is a 75% probability that the channel will break downward.

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**Explanation:**
- **Breakout Cycle:** The market has recently experienced a breakout, indicating a significant shift in momentum.
- **Ascending Channel:** The price is moving upward within a defined channel, suggesting a controlled uptrend.
- **Daily Time Frame Context:** The market is positioned in the upper half of its trading range, indicating potential resistance or a reversal zone.
- **Probability of Downward Break:** There is a high likelihood (75%) that the ascending channel will break to the downside, which could signal a reversal or a continuation of the previous trend.

This analysis suggests caution for traders, as the market may be approaching a key decision point where a downward break could occur.

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