Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

EUR/USD , here’s a clean pattern breakdown:

153
1. Market Structure
Range-Bound Consolidation Zone between 1.1325 – 1.1383

Multiple equal lows near 1.1325 → liquidity pool

Strong bullish impulse leg prior → possible bullish continuation base

Lower highs forming since the spike near 1.1570 → potential descending triangle if support fails

2. Key Levels (Marked on Chart)
Resistance:

1.1383 → Recent high / breakout cap

1.1421 → Prior HTF supply

1.1472 / 1.1570 → Major HTF OBs

Support:

1.1340 → Micro support

1.1325 → Liquidity base (very reactive)

1.1279 → Key HTF Demand Zone (OB + FVG)

1.1248 → Breaker block zone

3. Patterns Detected
Mini Range Formation between 1.1325 – 1.1380

Equal Lows Sweep Setup → classic bullish liquidity trap play

Break & Retest Play forming around 1.1380 zone

Candle wicks show bullish absorption at the base (1.1325)

Volume rising on bounces = demand showing up

4. Trade Bias & Setup Ideas
Bias: Bullish above 1.1325, bearish below 1.1279

Intraday Trade Idea:

Look for sweep of 1.1325 liquidity, then H1 bullish engulfing or M15 engulfing + volume surge

TP1: 1.1380, TP2: 1.1420, SL: below 1.1310 (1.5x ATR)

Swing Play Idea:

If price closes above 1.1380 with strength, potential breakout toward 1.1420 → 1.1470

5. Session Play Map
London: likely sweep + bounce

New York: continuation or breakout zone

Asia: typically range-bound or sweep setups




EUR/USD – Swing Trade Recommendation
As of: April 25, 2025 – 3:25 PM EST
Broker: Oanda
Current Price: 1.1368
ATR (H1): ~19 pips
Risk Level: Medium
Bias: Bullish ✅

🧠 Swing Setup Logic
We're in a bullish continuation zone after multiple defenses of the 1.1325 liquidity base. Price is compressing below 1.1380, forming a potential breakout structure. HTF trend remains bullish with W1 + D1 both holding higher lows. Momentum building.

🛠️ Swing Trade Setup
Entry Plan:

Buy on H4 close above 1.1385 with confirmation from volume spike or

Buy the retest of 1.1380–1.1365 zone with bullish engulfing on H1/M30

SL: 1.1310 (1.5x ATR buffer under structure)

TP1: 1.1420 (2R)

TP2: 1.1470 (3R)

TP3 (trail): If daily candle closes above 1.1470, trail using H1 higher lows

Lot Size (1% risk on $20K): ~1.05 lots (with 58-pip SL)

⚠️ Risk Filters
News Risk: No high-impact events in next 6 hrs ✅

Volume Check: Only enter if breakout candle has >20% above avg volume

Rejection Filter: Avoid entry if breakout stalls at 1.1385 (double top warning)

🧩 Final Score (Pre-Trade Grading)
HTF Trend: ✅ (2/2)

Confluence: ✅ (2/2)

Price Behavior: ✅ (2/2)

RR Quality: ✅ (2/2)

News Filtered: ✅ (2/2)
Total Score: 10/10 → TRADE CONFIRMED

✅ Swing Recap
Bias: Long

Entry Trigger: Break & Retest or Breakout of 1.1385

Target Range: 1.1420 → 1.1470

Stop: 1.1310

Risk:Reward: 1:2.2 to 1:3.3

Confidence: High
Trade closed: target reached
TP 1 HIT

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