Long Bullish Harmonic Bat, Conditional Position at 1.3092
Short Target 1.3153
Possible Throwback (POP!) 1.325
Long Position 1.30915
Long Target 1.3481
Possible Peak 1.356
Harmonic Bat Pattern
The harmonic bat pattern was discovered by Scott Carney in 2001. Carney maintains it is one of the most accurate patterns, and requires a smaller stop loss than most other patterns.
This is one of the retracement patterns (along with the Gartley Pattern) - and is a deep retest of Support (in the case of a bullish Bat) or Resistance (for a bearish bat) around the X level. The D level reversal will be at the .886 XA retracement in the PRZ.
If a Bat fails - it can often "morph" into a Crab Pattern where the D point exceeds the X point.
This pattern usually has an extended CD leg which is 1.27 Fibonacci extension of the AB - providing a favourable risk/reward.
Systematic tests by FxGroundworks, have shown the Bat pattern success rates to be 89%-95%.
Harmonic Bat Pattern Structure Key features to look out for are:
•A .886 XA retracement to the D point is necessary. The D point cannot exceed the X point - if it does, then the pattern is invalid. • Other Fibonacci levels should be closely grouped in tne PRZ •An extended AB=CD where the CD leg is 1.27 of the AB leg. Although, an AB=CD where AB and CD are the same length is acceptable, but is a minimum for the pattern to be valid. •Minimum 1.618 BC extension to the PRZ. Its preferable if the BC extension is 2.0. Could also be as much as 2.618. •The B point retracement must be less than .618 to be a valid pattern. e.g. B could be 0.5 or .382 retracement of the XA.
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