EUR/USD FUTURE LONG

Economists at Deutsche Bank forecast that EUR/USD could reach 1.10 by the end of June 2023. They also see potential for a more restrictive eurozone monetary policy stance than currently priced in, especially in 2023​1​. Recent statements from ECB President Christine Lagarde and economic data have supported the strengthening of the euro, which has recovered from a two-month low​2​.

On the other hand, the dollar has suffered its worst daily loss in nearly a month due to U.S. manufacturing data and comments by Federal Reserve officials, which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will likely skip an interest rate hike at its upcoming meeting​2​.

In terms of upcoming economic data, there are a number of releases for both USD and EUR that could impact the EUR/USD exchange rate in the coming weeks. Some of these include the Services PMI Index, Factory Orders, ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index, Trade Balance, Initial Jobless Claims for the USD​3​, and Unemployment Rate, GDP, Retail Sales, Wholesale Price Index, CPI, Industrial Production, Capital Account Balance, Financial Account Balance, Current Account Balance, Imports, Trade Balance for the EUR​4​.
Trend Analysis

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