By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The EUR/USD is at a point of high volatility this Friday, marked by the release of the US jobs report and the speech of Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB). These key factors will influence investors' decisions and the direction of the currency market. U.S. Employment Data: Impact on the Dollar The February nonfarm payrolls report is the main macroeconomic event of the day. Job creation of 156,000 is expected, up from 125,000 in January, while the unemployment rate is projected at 4.0%. If the data beats expectations, it could strengthen the dollar, putting downward pressure on EUR/USD. If not, the pair could see a rebound.
Lagarde's speech: possible clues on ECB monetary policy Markets will be watching Christine Lagarde's speech for clues on the direction of ECB monetary policy. With inflation still above the 2% target, any comments suggesting a tightening stance could boost the euro. However, if Lagarde adopts a more dovish tone, it could put downward pressure on the common currency.
EUR/USD Technical Outlook From a technical point of view, the EUR/USD remains within a key range. Immediate support is at 1.1818, while key resistance is at highs of 1.12132. A break below support could take the pair towards 1.05140, while a bullish breakout could allow it to test 1.12, if this breakout is successful it could advance to 1.14896.
Other factors to consider Market sentiment is also affected by volatility in cryptocurrencies and the performance of stock indices. Bitcoin and Ethereum post significant declines, while Asian and US markets trade with a negative sign, reflecting investors' nervousness ahead of macroeconomic data.
Conclusion EUR/USD will be determined today by the strength of the US labor market and ECB statements. In an environment of uncertainty, volatility will remain high, offering opportunities for both short-term traders and strategic investors.
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