CPI TRADE SETUP FOR EURUSD

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Here's a CPI-based trade setup for EUR/USD based on your 1H chart:


CPI Setup – EUR/USD (1H Chart)

Context:

Price recently made a strong bearish move with multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Breaks of Structure (BOS).

Currently, price is in a minor bullish retracement after forming a low near 1.1060.

CPI news is marked on the chart (lightning bolt + US flag), so a volatile move is expected.



Key Levels

Support Zone: 1.1050 – 1.1070
(Recent demand + potential liquidity grab area)

Resistance/FVG Zone: 1.1170 – 1.1200
(Deep retracement + imbalance zone + Fib 0.618–0.705)



Scenario A: CPI Hot (Higher than expected – Hawkish Fed)

Bias: USD Bullish → EUR/USD Bearish

Setup:

Wait for a spike up into FVG zone (1.1170–1.1200)

Look for a rejection pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing / CHoCH)

Entry: Short from 1.1180–1.1200

SL: 1.1225

Target 1: 1.1100

Target 2: 1.1060

Aggressive Entry: Sell below 1.1075 if breakdown happens fast post-news




Scenario B: CPI Soft (Lower than expected – Dovish Fed)

Bias: USD Bearish → EUR/USD Bullish

Setup:

Wait for a retest of 1.1070–1.1080 zone (demand + previous BOS)

Look for bullish CHoCH or strong reaction candle

Entry: Long from 1.1085

SL: 1.1060

Target 1: 1.1157 (Fib 0.5)

Target 2: 1.1190–1.1200 (FVG zone + liquidity)




Extra Notes

Your FVG and BOS zones are mapped well – these will act as liquidity magnets post-news.

Wait 3–5 mins after CPI release for candle confirmation before entering.

Consider reducing lot size due to volatility risk.

Trade with your own risk ‼️‼️

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