Dear traders,
We spent the last 8 years Researching how Financial Derivatives behave. We built a financial model that applies Universal Equations to model any instrument into 9 states. Those states are the steady trend (1), the reversal (2), the strong trend (3), the super trend (4) and the flat market (0). We then calculated the second derivative of the model and used it with momentum to work out where price is heading next.
We wanted to avoid paying commission on our trades so we only review our portfolio at the end of the day or at a specific time each day. By minimising the commission costs we have become far more profitable. A strategy that makes 200% in 10 trades is better than a strategy that makes 200% in 200 if the commission cost on BitMEX is 0.4% all round trip.
Coming from an FX market background we have always preferred diversification - rather than only trading XBTUSD we opted to trade all 8 MEX contracts. For example if we have 10 BTC in our account we will allocate 10% for each trade as the initial margin. We use 10X leverage on our trades but only invest 10% of our account - some of our trades will be long and some will be short. Very rarely we are completeley long or completely short. 6/8 of the BitMEX contracts are relative to XBT so the movement is also not as much as the USD markets when levered.
We keep our stop losses at 5%. Typically once trades have gone into profit BitMEX automatically delevers them - so our trading margin on our whole account is usually 5X.
Our results from 2018 and 2019 show that we can generate about 10 to 35% per week on average. With some weeks in October 2018 generating substantially more depending on the volatility of the market. As a rule of thumb we make 10 to 35% every week.
I am 100% against 'drawn in' analysis - unless the author can create a Financial Model or a mathematical theory or proof that can be shown to generate abnormal returns from atleast 1990 to 2019 on the 4 main assetclasses (FX, Equities, Commodities and Bonds). TA strategies consisting of ( Trend Lines , Flags, Pennants Fib Retracements, Elliot Waves etc) can be coded into the TradingView platform. I do not believe trading is an 'art', I believe it is quant based with many Wall Street Hedge Funds running the show such as Two Sigma, Bridgewater Associates and Renaissance Technologies. The 'art' of technical analysis was something which was invented in the 1920's. We are now almost in the 2020's. Drawn lines on charts were first invented in the Roaring 20's - this was prior to the Digital Age. People would collect quotes and plot them by hand on paper back then. As Technology advances further and further the TA you are learning is will prove to be obsolete.
On our website we have two free downloads - Empowering Futures and Getting Started.
The first one is about our story and who we are, while the second one shows you where to begin and what you need to do.
If you have any questions don't hesitate to DM us. We only trade the 1440 for crypto and 770 timeframes for FX, Commodities and Stocks.
2018 to 2019 Results: 5927%
XBTUSD: +70%
ETHUSD: 363%
TRXXBT: 184%
LTCXBT: 15%
EOSXBT: 343%
BCHXBT: 496%
ADAXBT: 414%
XRPXBT: 120%
Best regards,
Grey Trading UK