EUR/USD's Bullish Momentum: A Steady Rise Amidst Global Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD currency pair recently experienced a surge in its value, reaching close to the significant 1.1000 mark before encountering a slight retracement. This move comes after a rebound from the 38.2% Fibonacci level, confirming our earlier forecast of a renewed bullish impulse.
As of the latest update, the pair is currently trading around the 1.09560 area, demonstrating a positive trend. The backdrop for this ascent includes a favorable opening in Wall Street and decreasing US Treasury bond yields. Despite the release of better-than-expected Housing Starts data, the USD struggled to find traction, reflecting the impact of global market dynamics on currency valuations.
An additional factor influencing recent market movements is the soft inflation data from the UK, reigniting expectations for a potential Bank of England rate cut in the first half of the upcoming year. This development led to significant losses for the Pound Sterling against other major currencies. While the USD did absorb some capital outflows, the Euro stood out as an attractive option for investors, leading to EUR/GBP achieving a fresh three-week high above 0.8650.
Looking ahead, the scheduled speech by the Chicago Federal Reserve (Fed) President in the latter part of the day could introduce further dynamics to the currency markets.
Maintaining our bullish bias, we anticipate a continuation of the positive trend, especially considering the supportive factors in the global financial landscape. The pair's recent retracement could be viewed as a temporary pause before another potential climb towards our targeted levels. Investors will be keenly observing further market developments and central bank actions to gauge the future trajectory of EUR/USD.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.0800 with targets at 1.1010 & 1.1150 in extension.
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