Prolonged periods of lockdown in Europe, due to growing fears of a third wave of Covid-19, weigh dramatically on the Eurozone’s growth expectations.
There is a risk in another summer season of 'canceled' holidays, which will have a particularly serious impact on the economies of Southern Europe.
Figure 1 (see link below) shows that the restrictions have been much stricter in most European countries than in the United States (according to the Stringency index), and this is leading to a large divergence of growth expectations.
In addition, we have also seen that the vaccination schedule is particularly slow in Europe amid slow regulatory approvals and uncertainty about deliveries. In the U.S.A, 40% of the population has already been vaccinated (with the first and second dose) in Europe, only 10%.
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