The previous medium-term analysis can be found in the related idea. Some new interesting information has emerged, which I would like to share with you.
Weekly Timeframe Analysis On the weekly timeframe, a sideways movement has been forming since October 2023 (with point 4 established). The upper boundary is 1.12757, and the lower boundary is 1.04485. The current seller’s vector is 7-8, with a potential first target of 1.06011. Last week, the seller resumed activity. A potential threat for the seller is the buyer's zone (marked by a green rectangle on the chart), with its upper edge at 1.08851.
Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, there was a sideways movement starting from August 2024 (point 4 was established). The upper boundary was 1.12142, and the lower boundary was 1.10002. The seller's vector 9-10 broke below the lower boundary, initiating a short trend. The beginning of the last seller's impulse is 1.09973. The end of the impulse will be confirmed when we see the first daily candle of the buyer. The end of the previous seller's impulse was at 1.09514.
Highlights The priority is to look for sell opportunities. Purchases should be considered if the price returns above 1.09973, and the buyer protects this level.
If we look at the average time taken for vectors in the sideways movement on the weekly timeframe, it generally takes about 15 weeks for the price to realize the vector, meaning that by approximately January 2025, the seller might reach their target. If we account for a mathematical progression (+3 weeks to the next vector), it may take around 21 weeks to achieve this.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Note
The first target 1.06011 has been reached.
Let's see how the week closes and whether a buyer will appear.
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