EURUSD might have found support around 1.1240 today. The currency was pulling back from 1.1350 highs and the drop looks corrective for now. A rally past 1.1300 would confirm a meaningful bottom in place at 1.1240. Alternately, an impulse drop from 1.1350 would change the structure and we might consider reversing our positions. For now, we favor a bullish count, which targets above 1.1500, going further. EURUSD had rallied from 1.0636 through 1.1150 as an impulse, Wave 1 on the chart here. The subsequent drop unfolded as a potential triangle, which got terminated around 1.0775, Wave 2 on the chart here. Since then, Wave 3 has been unfolding towards 1.1500 resistance. A failure to break above 1.1500 would change the structure for the medium term.
Strategy:
Long against 1.0630, targeting above 1.1500.
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