Company: Ford Motor Company
Ticker: F
Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Introduction:
Today's technical analysis takes a look at Ford Motor Company (F), a prominent player in the Consumer Discretionary sector, listed on the NYSE. A complex formation is unfolding on the weekly chart where a long-term Head and Shoulders pattern encounters a shorter-term Descending Triangle. This unusual setup, featuring a recent breakaway gap, may suggest a bullish trend reversal.
Head and Shoulders & Descending Triangle Pattern:
A Head and Shoulders pattern typically signals a trend reversal from bullish to bearish, while a Descending Triangle is usually seen as a bearish continuation pattern. However, in this unique scenario, the right shoulder of the Head and Shoulders pattern, which is longer than the left, has morphed into a Descending Triangle, creating a complex setup.
Analysis:
Ford's chart shows a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, with the Descending Triangle making up the right shoulder. The triangle has five touch points on the upper boundary and three on the lower. The support of the descending triangle coincides with the support of the head and shoulders.
We've noticed a breakaway gap which indicates a bullish breakout from the descending triangle. Currently, the price appears to be attempting a break above the 200 EMA. If we witness a weekly candlestick close above the 200 EMA, we could interpret this as a transition into a bullish environment, presenting a potential long position entry.
The price target is set at $18.65, representing an approximately 49% rise from the breakout level. Notably, a minor resistance might be encountered at $16.69. A breakout above this level could also signify a failure of the Head and Shoulders pattern, warranting a recalculation of the price target.
Conclusion:
Ford's weekly chart offers an intriguing setup for classical price pattern traders. The unusual combination of a Head and Shoulders pattern and a Descending Triangle, alongside a recent breakaway gap, might indicate a potential bullish reversal.
This analysis should form part of a comprehensive market research and risk management strategy. Please remember, this is not financial advice, and investing always involves risk.
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Best regards,
Karim Subhieh