I think that there is a good possibility that , with Farley at the helm at Ford , which has also recently broken out of a 20 year base and just on Friday ( Dec 10th, 2021) broke out of a smaller base too, that we will likely begin to see F outperform TSLA . I am not saying that TSLA is going to capitulate or anything like that , but I am betting that Ford is going to become a pretty notable challenger for EV dominance and give TSLA a run for its leader status in the industry .
I think that TSLA is going to have some difficulties keeping the same levels of growth up we have seen in its former years and whereas Ford is just getting started in the EV sector really and that is currently not priced in well to it's share price. So, I personally believe that the market is very inefficient in pricing Fords true value but that it eventually will correct this inefficiency .
I could be wrong but even if I am , this trade probably has a pretty low probability of loss overall .
I like the market caps vs share price of the two .
TSLA - $ 966.55 per share with a cap of 979 billion .
F - $ 20.68 per share with a cap of 89 billion .
Ford is a sleeping giant here . Also , I really like Farley too and that's a big part of why I have high hopes for Fords future .
Nothing against Musk either :) This is about making money though and I think it's a trade that has potential for profit greater than loss .
If this goes the way I am hoping I will add when it shows us some more strength in the highlighted area on the chart .