FTSE Bursa Malaysia Small Cap Index
Short
Updated

FBMSCAP

30
FTSE Bursa Malaysia Small Cap Index - [FBMSCAP]
Overall Trend :
  • The index has experienced a strong uptrend from late 2023 into early 2024, with prices consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
  • However, starting around June 2024, the index began a significant correction, with a noticeable downward movement that broke below the support of the middle Bollinger Band and continued lower.

Bollinger Bands :
  • The Bollinger Bands indicate increased volatility, especially in recent weeks. The bands have widened, and price action has moved sharply from the upper band to the lower band, suggesting a bearish sentiment.
  • After touching the lower Bollinger Band, the price experienced a brief bounce, but it remains below the middle band, which could act as resistance.

Recent Candlestick Patterns :
  • The recent candlesticks show large red bodies, indicating strong selling pressure.
  • There’s a gap down visible, followed by a small bounce, but the overall pattern suggests that sellers are still in control.

Support and Resistance Levels :
  • Support: The most recent low around 14,809.16 could act as a strong support level. If the index breaks below this level, it could lead to further downside.
  • Resistance: The immediate resistance is around the 18,400 to 18,600 level, near the middle Bollinger Band and the recent highs from the minor bounce.

Conclusion :
  • Bearish Outlook: The index is in a correction phase after a prolonged uptrend. The recent price action, moving averages, and Bollinger Bands suggest that the bearish momentum is still present.
  • Potential Reversal: A decisive break below the recent support level (around 14,809.16) could signal a continuation of the downtrend. Conversely, a break above the 18,400 to 18,600 resistance level could suggest a recovery.

This analysis suggests caution for long positions, as the bearish momentum appears strong. Monitoring key support and resistance levels will be crucial for identifying potential reversal or continuation patterns.
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