🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. The market continues to range, with most altcoins still confined within their range boxes, except for Ethereum, which has generated a lot of hype.
📰Today might finally be the day when momentum enters the market, as it's the deadline for the Ethereum ETF news. Regardless of whether it gets approved or not, the market is likely to see some movement.
🧩The coin we will analyze today is FIL (Filecoin). This project provides a cloud storage solution on the blockchain, similar to iCloud, where you can securely store your data. Today, we will focus on trading futures rather than the specifics of the project.
🔄In the 4-hour timeframe, after a significant drop in mid-April, FIL has been ranging, and this range continues. The range box has a ceiling at 6.678 and a floor at 5.332. These two levels are the primary triggers for opening positions. Any trigger between these two levels is unreliable; if you open a position, you should close it quickly.
📈For long positions, in addition to the breakout of 6.678, you can also consider the breakout of 6.316. If this resistance is broken, you can open a swing position. Currently, I do not see any other triggers for a long position. We need to wait for the market to create a new structure for additional triggers.
✅For profit-taking and targets, the first target based on support and resistance on the chart is 7.994. However, along the way, I will take partial profits several times. The only scenario in which I would keep the entire position open until it reaches 7.994 is if the RSI enters the oversold region and does not exit, indicating a sharp market movement.
📉For short positions, the main trigger, as mentioned, is 5.332. For early entry, you can enter a short position after testing 5.955 and breaking it. The second early trigger is 5.545, and breaking this level also allows for opening a short position.
📊Keep in mind, it doesn't matter which trigger is activated. The most important thing in the market is that volume increases in the direction of the trend. If you are opening a long position, the volume of green candles should increase, and the volume of red candles should decrease. The same applies to short positions; selling volume should increase, and buying volume should decrease.
📝In conclusion, today’s market movement could be significant, driven by the Ethereum ETF news. Be prepared for potential volatility and ensure your trading strategy is adaptable to both long and short opportunities in FIL.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.