28 SEP 2015 - I am working on this GBPAUD chart - Keep an eye on this for a potential opp at a shorter timeframe.
As we continue to look at the DAILY chart, the goal here is to find a mechanism by which price would descend down to the level of Point-3 in reference to the large Geo we have been following.
There are some indications within the 4-Hour chart, as well as per the Predictive/Forecasting Model, that price could test 2.25275 as price attempts to complete its Geo cycle (i.e.: First, closing the 5-point geometry, then reaching counter-trend-wise away from the 1-3 Line, just as the Wolfe Wave pattern is know to behave as it seeks validation of its 1-4 Line.
Again, 4-hour chart coming up shortly.
David Alcindor
Note
22 FEB 2016 - Chart Update / Tech-Note:
As the Geo completed its geometric cycle, price is not heading to its corresponding Rule #2 level:
Best,
David Alcindor
Note
18 MAR 2016 - Chart Update: Target Hit
Price finally reached the Geo's level of Point-4, adhering to the Geo's Off-Set Rule #2. In addition, the Predictive/Forecasting Model's 1.87545 target, defined nearly a year ago on April 21st, 2015 was also reached yesterday:
At this point, expect the lower qualitative target to get hit (at a lesser probability), and a reversal to occur at these levels.
Best,
David Alcindor
Note
02 APR 2016 - Chart Update / Tech-Note:
Price reached the lowest Qual-Target at 1.85918, which was defined last April 21st, 2015:
This lower-probability, higher-reversibility target should prompt trader to look for reversal patterns.
Best,
David Alcindor
Note
14 APR 2016 - Chart Update / Tech-Note:
Note that price carved even lower-lows, now reaching a prior target defined on February 12th 2015 (over a year ago). While this target represented a lower probability target (as a Qualitative Target, or "Qual-Target"), the nature of these targets are associated with high-probability reversal power:
Considering the recent discussion on imminent reversal in the GBP vs. CAD and imminent hit of the USOIL (WTI) target, one should consider the possibility of a commodity-wide reversal, not only affecting #oil, but #gold as well (XAU) ... Worth keeping an eye out for these commodities.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.