🔴 PRIMARY TRADE – SELL SETUP (REVISED BASED ON LIVE REACTION)
🔻 SELL ENTRY (Revised to Catch the Best Entry)
🔹 Aggressive Entry: If price retests 2.0480 – 2.0500, enter a Sell Limit (re-entry into rejection zone).
🔹 Confirmation Entry: If price fails to break above 2.0450 & forms rejection (Engulfing, Fakeout, or Pin Bar) on M15/M30/H1, take a market execution sell.
🔹 SL: 2.0530 (Above liquidity grab & invalidation zone).
🔹 TP1: 2.0400 (Nearest support, move SL to breakeven).
🔹 TP2: 2.0320 (Liquidity target).
🔹 TP3: 2.0250 – 2.0200 (Full reversal target).
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
🎯 Confidence Level: ✅✅✅✅ (High Probability Trade – Strong Structural & Liquidity Confluence).
📌 Why this sell setup is still valid?
🔹 H4 bearish engulfing confirms institutional selling pressure.
🔹 H1 bearish divergence signals momentum weakness.
🔹 Price has already rejected 2.0500, so a lower high at 2.0480 – 2.0500 would be a great re-entry.
🔹 If price does not retest, a break & rejection below 2.0450 offers a confirmation entry.
🟢 SECONDARY TRADE – BUY SETUP (IF SELL FAILS OR DEEP RETRACE OCCURS)
🔹 BUY ENTRY (Unchanged)
🔹 Aggressive Entry: Buy Limit at 2.0250 – 2.0200 (Institutional Demand Zone).
🔹 Confirmation Entry: Wait for bullish rejection (Wick Rejection, Bullish Engulfing, or Fakeout) above 2.0250.
🔹 SL: 2.0150 (Below liquidity grab zone).
🔹 TP1: 2.0320 (First resistance, move SL to breakeven).
🔹 TP2: 2.0400 – 2.0450 (Extended move based on liquidity).
🔹 TP3: 2.0500 – 2.0550 (Full bullish target).
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
🎯 Confidence Level: ✅✅✅ (Medium-High, depends on sell reaction at 2.0500).
📌 Why consider buying here?
🔹 Price would retrace into institutional demand at 2.0250 – 2.0200.
🔹 Strong reaction zone with previous liquidity grab & fair value gap.
🔹 Aligns with Fibonacci retracement (50% – 61.8%) & previous demand area.
🔻 SELL ENTRY (Revised to Catch the Best Entry)
🔹 Aggressive Entry: If price retests 2.0480 – 2.0500, enter a Sell Limit (re-entry into rejection zone).
🔹 Confirmation Entry: If price fails to break above 2.0450 & forms rejection (Engulfing, Fakeout, or Pin Bar) on M15/M30/H1, take a market execution sell.
🔹 SL: 2.0530 (Above liquidity grab & invalidation zone).
🔹 TP1: 2.0400 (Nearest support, move SL to breakeven).
🔹 TP2: 2.0320 (Liquidity target).
🔹 TP3: 2.0250 – 2.0200 (Full reversal target).
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
🎯 Confidence Level: ✅✅✅✅ (High Probability Trade – Strong Structural & Liquidity Confluence).
📌 Why this sell setup is still valid?
🔹 H4 bearish engulfing confirms institutional selling pressure.
🔹 H1 bearish divergence signals momentum weakness.
🔹 Price has already rejected 2.0500, so a lower high at 2.0480 – 2.0500 would be a great re-entry.
🔹 If price does not retest, a break & rejection below 2.0450 offers a confirmation entry.
🟢 SECONDARY TRADE – BUY SETUP (IF SELL FAILS OR DEEP RETRACE OCCURS)
🔹 BUY ENTRY (Unchanged)
🔹 Aggressive Entry: Buy Limit at 2.0250 – 2.0200 (Institutional Demand Zone).
🔹 Confirmation Entry: Wait for bullish rejection (Wick Rejection, Bullish Engulfing, or Fakeout) above 2.0250.
🔹 SL: 2.0150 (Below liquidity grab zone).
🔹 TP1: 2.0320 (First resistance, move SL to breakeven).
🔹 TP2: 2.0400 – 2.0450 (Extended move based on liquidity).
🔹 TP3: 2.0500 – 2.0550 (Full bullish target).
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
🎯 Confidence Level: ✅✅✅ (Medium-High, depends on sell reaction at 2.0500).
📌 Why consider buying here?
🔹 Price would retrace into institutional demand at 2.0250 – 2.0200.
🔹 Strong reaction zone with previous liquidity grab & fair value gap.
🔹 Aligns with Fibonacci retracement (50% – 61.8%) & previous demand area.
Trade active
UPDATED PLAN:📌 Institutional Trade Analysis – GBPAUD
1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis
✅ D1: Bullish trend, price in premium zone, signs of potential exhaustion.
✅ H4: Recent rejection from highs, forming lower highs – possible short-term bearish retracement.
✅ H1: Price consolidating after rejection, indicating a short-term pullback opportunity.
2️⃣ Liquidity & Order Flow Analysis
🔹 Liquidity grab above 2.0480, rejection confirms strong supply.
🔹 Potential liquidity pools around 2.0300, 2.0250, and deeper at 2.0200.
3️⃣ Key Institutional Zones & Execution Plan
🔥 Primary SELL Setup (High-Conviction)
🔹 Sell Limit: 2.0400 - 2.0420 (Institutional Order Block + Liquidity Trap)
🔹 Confirmation Entry:
✅ H1/H4 Rejection Candle (Engulfing, Fakeout, Pin Bar, or Wick Rejection)
✅ Bearish Divergence on Lower Timeframes
✅ Volume Spike Confirming Institutional Selling
✅ Stop Loss: Above 2.0485 (Avoid liquidity grabs)
✅ TP1: 2.0300 (First reaction zone – move SL to breakeven)
✅ TP2: 2.0250 (Institutional demand zone)
✅ TP3: 2.0200 - 2.0180 (Full completion into liquidity pool)
🎯 Risk-Reward: 1:3 Minimum, Preferably 1:4+
🎯 Confidence Level: ✅✅✅✅ (80-90%) – High Probability Trade
🔥 Alternative BUY Setup
🔹 Buy Limit: 2.0180 - 2.0200 (Liquidity Sweep + Discount Demand Zone)
🔹 Confirmation Entry:
✅ H1/H4 Rejection at Support Zone
✅ Bullish Divergence on Lower Timeframes
✅ Stop Loss: Below 2.0150 (Deep liquidity grab invalidation)
✅ TP1: 2.0300
✅ TP2: 2.0350 - 2.0380 (Institutional Level)
📌 Trade Validity: 12-24 Hours (Monitor price action for invalidation)
🚀 Execute with Institutional Precision – No Forced Trades!
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.