GBP/CAD Trading plan (long position)

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✅ GBP/CAD Trading Plan (Long Position)

Strategy: Reversal Trade + Break of Trendline
Timeframe: 4H
Date: April 13, 2025
Pair: GBP/CAD (British Pound / Canadian Dollar)
Platform: OANDA (via TradingView)

🔍 Market Insight

• The pair has been in a strong downtrend.
• Price is now:
• Bouncing off a clearly marked support zone (~1.8050–1.8100).
• Broke a descending trendline, suggesting a shift in momentum.
• Formed multiple bullish wicks and a bullish engulfing pattern near support.
• BBandLE (buy entry signal) confirms buying pressure.

🎯 Trade Entry

• Entry Price: Around 1.8140
• Reason for Entry:
• Bounce off strong demand zone (support)
• Bullish momentum shift after a trendline break
• Price showing higher lows forming at support
• Clean risk-to-reward zone mapped out

📉 Stop-Loss (SL)

• SL Price: 1.8045
• Risk: ~95 pips
• Justification:
• SL placed below the rejection wicks and structure low
• Gives trade room in case of volatility or retests

📈 Take-Profit (TP)

• TP1: 1.8300
• Early resistance and previous structure
• Take 50% off here and move SL to breakeven
• TP2: 1.8680
• Final target at the previous swing high/resistance zone

📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)

• TP1 RRR: ~1:1.7
• TP2 RRR: ~1:5.5
• Overall trade has excellent reward potential with tight risk

🧠 Trade Management

• Monitor price action at 1.8300 zone
• If bullish momentum continues strongly, you can trail SL and ride the wave
• If price stalls or prints reversal signals, secure gains early

⚠️ Risks

• GBP or CAD economic data/news may cause volatility
• Oil price surges could strengthen CAD unexpectedly
• Failure to hold 1.8050 invalidates this reversal idea

🛠️ Contingency Plan

• If price returns to 1.8050:
• Watch for bullish rejection patterns again for possible re-entry
• If price closes below 1.8040, exit and wait for a fresh setup

📅 Time Horizon

• Swing Position: Hold for 3–7 trading days
• Adjust if fundamentals or price action changes

Disclaimer

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