The GBPCAD pair delivered a solid buy trade last time we analyzed it (October 05 2023, see chart below), easily hitting the 1.71110 Target, on a structure rise:
The price is now signaling a bearish call as it has been rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the July 17 2023 High. This is technically a Quadruple Top if it stays that way and naturally there is strong sell potential behind it. The natural support levels are the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the latter of which is trading exactly on the Higher Lows trend-line, which is our first Target (1.6950).
If the price closes below the 1D MA200 and Higher Lows trend-line, we will re-short and target the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is just below Support 1. What makes selling a stronger probability right now is the formation of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross, which has been a sell signal with 100% accuracy for the whole 2023.
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