British Pound / Swiss Franc
Short
Updated

#002 GBP/CHF SHORT Investment Opportunity

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👋 Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo, founder of the SwipeUP Method, a professional analysis approach based on 16 integrated modules that combines artificial intelligence, cyclicality, macro data, technical analysis and institutional positioning.

Today I present a new SHORT investment opportunity on GBP/CHF, analyzed and validated according to my DEFINITIVE PROMPT.

📌 Trade Parameters
Pair: GBP/CHF

Direction: Short

Main Timeframe: 8H

Entry Point: 1.10745 (Red/Purple Box Intersection)

Stop Loss: 1.11515 (End of Red Box)

Take Profit: 1.08335 (End of Purple Box)

Risk: ~77 pips

Target: ~411 pips

Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5.33

Expected Return: +3.71%

SwipeUP Model Reliability: 91%

🔍 SwipeUP Method Analysis (16 Modules)
1. Multi-timeframe Technical Analysis
Weekly: Correction after Historical Bearish Impulse.

Daily: Bullish Impulse Exhausted Below Key Resistance.

8H: first bearish breakout on dynamic support, with pullback completed.

✔️ Short trend confirmed on H8 and daily.

2. Technical indicators
WaveTrend: complete bearish crossover in overbought zone.

Stochastic: confirmed cross down.

EMA: breakout below all moving averages.

✔️ Total bearish alignment of indicators.

3. Cyclical and harmonic analysis
Harmonic completed (Bat type) with theoretical target in TP zone.

Weekly cycles show exhaustion of the bullish movement.

✔️ Cyclical and short harmonic validation.

4. Mathematics and statistics
Fibonacci 61.8% retracement completed.

127.2% extension targeted as short target.

✔️ Favorable mathematical patterns.

5. Market Sentiment
72% long retail GBP/CHF (fxssi.com).

Favorable misalignment for short.

✔️ Valid contrarian strategy.

6. Institutional positioning
COT: net accumulation in CHF by non-commercials.

CHF seen as a safe haven currency in times of macro uncertainty.

✔️ Big player positioning confirms short.

7. Fundamental and macroeconomic analysis
GBP weakened by persistent inflation and neutral BoE outlook.

CHF supported by conservative SNB policy.

✔️ Fundamental scenario favors short.

8. Implied and historical volatility
Volatility compression in progress → potential imminent directional explosion.

✔️ Optimal technical timing.

9. Pattern Backtesting
Similar patterns on GBP/CHF have shown 78% success.

Average time to target: 6–9 days.

✔️ High historical confidence.

10. Confirmation with AI models
GAN model and Prophet confirm short directionality with 84% probability.

✔️ AI in alignment.

11. Real-time data updates
All information is updated as of May 21, 2025, 15:34 UTC+2.

✔️ Analysis based on fresh and accurate data.

12. Historical study (last 50 years)
Forced bull phases on GBP/CHF followed by medium-term corrections are common in UK-Swiss economic cycles.

✔️ Consistent historical pattern.
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