Take Profit 1 - 184.73 Take Profit 2 - 184.23 Take Profit 3 - 183.73 Stop loss - 186.53
The GBPJPY pair has been in a bearish trend for the past few weeks, and it is currently trading near the bottom of its range. The current spot rate is 185.53, and a sell entry point of 185.53 is just above the recent low of 185.33.
There are a few reasons why GBPJPY could continue to fall in the near term. First, the British pound is generally seen as a safe haven currency, and it has been weakening against the Japanese yen as concerns about the global economy have grown. Second, the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates more slowly than the Bank of Japan, which could put downward pressure on the GBP against the JPY. Finally, the UK economy is expected to grow more slowly than the Japanese economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the ongoing trade tensions with the EU and the war in Ukraine.
Technical analysis:
From a technical perspective, the GBPJPY pair is trading below its 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also forming a bearish descending triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern that typically leads to a breakout to the downside.
Fundamental analysis:
The UK economy is expected to grow more slowly than the Japanese economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the ongoing trade tensions with the EU and the war in Ukraine. However, the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates more slowly than the Bank of Japan, which could put downward pressure on the GBP against the JPY.
Risks:
There are a few risks to consider before entering a trade on GBPJPY. First, the global economy is facing some headwinds, such as the war in Ukraine. These headwinds could weigh on risk appetite and lead to a rise in the GBPJPY pair. Second, the Bank of Japan is expected to intervene in the forex market to prevent the JPY from falling too far. Finally, the Japanese economy is facing some headwinds, such as the aging population and the ongoing trade tensions with China. These headwinds could weigh on the JPY and lead to a rise in the GBPJPY pair.
Overall:
I think GBPJPY is a good pair to trade for those who are looking for a short-term bearish trend. However, it is important to remember that the forex market is volatile, and there is always the risk of a reversal. You should always do your own research before entering any trades.
Here are some additional factors that you may want to consider before entering a trade on GBPJPY:
The economic outlook for the UK and Japan. The level of volatility in the forex market. The price of commodities, such as oil and other manufactured goods.
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