Looking at the GBP/JPY 1-hour chart, I see price currently hovering around 190.164, showing mild bullish momentum but still respecting key resistance levels. Here’s my breakdown:
Market Structure & Key Zones:
Price has been bouncing between 190.00 and 190.40, suggesting a short-term consolidation phase.
190.30-190.40 is acting as a liquidity zone—if buyers can push through this level, we could see upside toward 190.60-190.75.
On the flip side, 190.00 remains a psychological support level, and a break below it could lead to a sweep toward 189.70-189.50, where previous demand has existed.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (1-hour): 45.09 → Momentum is neutral, meaning price isn’t aggressively overbought or oversold.
CCI (1-hour): 81.05 → Mild bullish strength, but nothing parabolic yet.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 100.0 → This is overbought, which signals a possible pullback before further upside.
Directional Strength:
ADX (1-hour): 13.28 → Weak trend strength, confirming the possibility of range-bound movement.
DX (1-hour): 3.67 → Not an explosive directional move yet, meaning a breakout needs confirmation.
Scalping Plan:
Bullish Play: If price breaks 190.40, my next upside targets are 190.60-190.75.
Bearish Play: A rejection from 190.30-190.40 could drive price back toward 190.00 or lower.
Liquidity Grab Scenario: If price sweeps below 190.00, institutional absorption might trigger a strong reversal, making 189.70-189.50 a potential buying zone.
At this point, I’m watching price action closely—especially around 190.30—for signs of buyer exhaustion or a sudden momentum shift. Would I enter a trade right now? Not just yet. I’d want further confirmation, possibly volume profile analysis, to see if institutions are positioned for continuation or a reversal.
Market Structure & Key Zones:
Price has been bouncing between 190.00 and 190.40, suggesting a short-term consolidation phase.
190.30-190.40 is acting as a liquidity zone—if buyers can push through this level, we could see upside toward 190.60-190.75.
On the flip side, 190.00 remains a psychological support level, and a break below it could lead to a sweep toward 189.70-189.50, where previous demand has existed.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (1-hour): 45.09 → Momentum is neutral, meaning price isn’t aggressively overbought or oversold.
CCI (1-hour): 81.05 → Mild bullish strength, but nothing parabolic yet.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 100.0 → This is overbought, which signals a possible pullback before further upside.
Directional Strength:
ADX (1-hour): 13.28 → Weak trend strength, confirming the possibility of range-bound movement.
DX (1-hour): 3.67 → Not an explosive directional move yet, meaning a breakout needs confirmation.
Scalping Plan:
Bullish Play: If price breaks 190.40, my next upside targets are 190.60-190.75.
Bearish Play: A rejection from 190.30-190.40 could drive price back toward 190.00 or lower.
Liquidity Grab Scenario: If price sweeps below 190.00, institutional absorption might trigger a strong reversal, making 189.70-189.50 a potential buying zone.
At this point, I’m watching price action closely—especially around 190.30—for signs of buyer exhaustion or a sudden momentum shift. Would I enter a trade right now? Not just yet. I’d want further confirmation, possibly volume profile analysis, to see if institutions are positioned for continuation or a reversal.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.