GBPJPY made a very strong reversal in the second half of 2024, following a sharp drop of more than 10%, with an aggressive bearish impulse and also broke the lower trendline of the impulsive channel back in August. Since then, the first recovery unfolded in three waves, suggesting this move could be part of a complex correction—currently still unfolding as a wave B pause.
Ideally, this structure is forming a triangle, especially as the drop back to the recent April lows also looks corrective. So, I believe the triangle scenario is the most likely scenario here, and price could now be heading toward the upper side of the range if risk-on sentiment continues. Still, upside may be limited, as this range could stay in play until all A-B-C-D-E legs are completed. If correct, wave C for a deeper move lower is still missing and could develop later this year.
Grega
Ideally, this structure is forming a triangle, especially as the drop back to the recent April lows also looks corrective. So, I believe the triangle scenario is the most likely scenario here, and price could now be heading toward the upper side of the range if risk-on sentiment continues. Still, upside may be limited, as this range could stay in play until all A-B-C-D-E legs are completed. If correct, wave C for a deeper move lower is still missing and could develop later this year.
Grega
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