I have been closely monitoring GBP/JPY, currently trading around 188.775. The pair has been hovering near resistance, and multiple technical indicators suggest momentum is weakening. My focus is on institutional absorption near 188.75–189.00, where price has struggled to break higher.
Examining price action, I see rejection wicks forming near resistance, confirming potential sell-side control. MACD divergence on the hourly timeframe indicates slowing momentum, and RSI is hovering around 54.69, reflecting a neutral stance rather than strong bullish continuation. ADX at 18.83 suggests the trend is weak, meaning price could be consolidating before a directional move.
Support sits near 187.50–188.00, where price has previously shown demand. If institutions absorb sell orders here, a long position toward 189.00 may develop. However, if price fails to hold above 188.75, a short trade targeting 187.50 aligns with institutional rejection patterns. With volume showing signs of clustering near resistance, the probability of a pullback is increasing.
At this point, I am watching how price reacts near key liquidity zones. If sellers continue defending 188.75, I will wait for bearish confirmation before executing a short trade. Alternatively, if price holds above 188.50 with bullish volume, I will reassess my bias for a potential breakout toward 189.50. Managing risk effectively and waiting for clear signals will be the key to executing the best trade setup.
Examining price action, I see rejection wicks forming near resistance, confirming potential sell-side control. MACD divergence on the hourly timeframe indicates slowing momentum, and RSI is hovering around 54.69, reflecting a neutral stance rather than strong bullish continuation. ADX at 18.83 suggests the trend is weak, meaning price could be consolidating before a directional move.
Support sits near 187.50–188.00, where price has previously shown demand. If institutions absorb sell orders here, a long position toward 189.00 may develop. However, if price fails to hold above 188.75, a short trade targeting 187.50 aligns with institutional rejection patterns. With volume showing signs of clustering near resistance, the probability of a pullback is increasing.
At this point, I am watching how price reacts near key liquidity zones. If sellers continue defending 188.75, I will wait for bearish confirmation before executing a short trade. Alternatively, if price holds above 188.50 with bullish volume, I will reassess my bias for a potential breakout toward 189.50. Managing risk effectively and waiting for clear signals will be the key to executing the best trade setup.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.