GBP/JPY Approaching Key Channel Support: Potential for Downside
Updated
**GBP/JPY Technical Outlook: Bearish Signs Building as Price Approaches Critical Channel Support and Triangle Pattern Tightens**
The recent movement in GBP/JPY has played out precisely as anticipated, with the price reaching my previous target. As the pair now approaches a critical junction, it’s beginning to display several bearish technical patterns that could hint at an impending trend reversal. At this stage, GBP/JPY is forming a triangular consolidation within an upward channel, testing the strength of the channel's lower boundary. This pattern is particularly important, as a decisive break and close below the channel would signal that selling momentum may be taking over, potentially altering the broader trend.
### Triangle Pattern and Lower Channel Boundary
The triangle pattern currently taking shape suggests that GBP/JPY is undergoing a phase of consolidation, a period in which buyers and sellers are in temporary balance. However, with the price hovering near the lower boundary of the channel, this balance may soon tip in favor of the sellers. A breakdown below this channel would be highly significant, potentially confirming a shift in the prevailing upward trend and opening the door to lower price levels.
### Daily Timeframe: Double Top and Lower Highs
Zooming into the daily timeframe reveals even more compelling evidence of weakening bullish momentum. GBP/JPY has formed a notable double top pattern, a formation known for signaling bearish reversals. The double top suggests that the buying strength encountered substantial resistance near recent highs, leading to a rejection. This pattern often serves as a precursor to a bearish move, as it shows that the upward push is running out of steam.
In addition to the double top, GBP/JPY is also forming a series of lower highs, which reflects an increase in selling pressure. This sequence of lower highs implies that buyers are struggling to maintain the price at elevated levels, allowing sellers to gradually take control. Such patterns often indicate that the market’s sentiment is shifting, with sellers gaining confidence while buyers lose momentum.
### Potential Bearish Continuation and Support Zone Target
If GBP/JPY breaks down from the triangle pattern and exits the channel, the bearish momentum could accelerate significantly. The key support zone around 195.570 stands out as a potential target for this move. This level has historical significance, serving as a support in previous downtrends, and could act as a point of interest for buyers once again. However, if the selling pressure remains strong, GBP/JPY may even extend beyond this zone, leading to a deeper correction.
### Summary
In summary, GBP/JPY is at a critical inflection point, with bearish patterns accumulating across multiple timeframes. The triangle pattern within the channel, coupled with the double top and lower highs on the daily chart, suggests that downside risks are mounting. A confirmed break below the lower channel boundary could trigger a strong bearish continuation, with the initial target around the 195.570 support zone. As the price approaches this crucial support, it will be essential to monitor for signs of renewed buying interest or potential further declines.
The recent movement in GBP/JPY has played out precisely as anticipated, with the price reaching my previous target. As the pair now approaches a critical junction, it’s beginning to display several bearish technical patterns that could hint at an impending trend reversal. At this stage, GBP/JPY is forming a triangular consolidation within an upward channel, testing the strength of the channel's lower boundary. This pattern is particularly important, as a decisive break and close below the channel would signal that selling momentum may be taking over, potentially altering the broader trend.
### Triangle Pattern and Lower Channel Boundary
The triangle pattern currently taking shape suggests that GBP/JPY is undergoing a phase of consolidation, a period in which buyers and sellers are in temporary balance. However, with the price hovering near the lower boundary of the channel, this balance may soon tip in favor of the sellers. A breakdown below this channel would be highly significant, potentially confirming a shift in the prevailing upward trend and opening the door to lower price levels.
### Daily Timeframe: Double Top and Lower Highs
Zooming into the daily timeframe reveals even more compelling evidence of weakening bullish momentum. GBP/JPY has formed a notable double top pattern, a formation known for signaling bearish reversals. The double top suggests that the buying strength encountered substantial resistance near recent highs, leading to a rejection. This pattern often serves as a precursor to a bearish move, as it shows that the upward push is running out of steam.
In addition to the double top, GBP/JPY is also forming a series of lower highs, which reflects an increase in selling pressure. This sequence of lower highs implies that buyers are struggling to maintain the price at elevated levels, allowing sellers to gradually take control. Such patterns often indicate that the market’s sentiment is shifting, with sellers gaining confidence while buyers lose momentum.
### Potential Bearish Continuation and Support Zone Target
If GBP/JPY breaks down from the triangle pattern and exits the channel, the bearish momentum could accelerate significantly. The key support zone around 195.570 stands out as a potential target for this move. This level has historical significance, serving as a support in previous downtrends, and could act as a point of interest for buyers once again. However, if the selling pressure remains strong, GBP/JPY may even extend beyond this zone, leading to a deeper correction.
### Summary
In summary, GBP/JPY is at a critical inflection point, with bearish patterns accumulating across multiple timeframes. The triangle pattern within the channel, coupled with the double top and lower highs on the daily chart, suggests that downside risks are mounting. A confirmed break below the lower channel boundary could trigger a strong bearish continuation, with the initial target around the 195.570 support zone. As the price approaches this crucial support, it will be essential to monitor for signs of renewed buying interest or potential further declines.
Trade active
Trade active.Trade closed manually
Note
Target hit 
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.