🔥 GBP/NZD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: April 2, 2025
🔖 Plan Type: Main Swing Plan
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal – D1 Discount Rejection
📌 Trade Idea: Buying into D1 pullback structure for continuation to weekly range high
📥 Entry Type: H4 Demand Zone + Liquidity Sweep + FVG Alignment
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences:
– D1 strong bullish BOS structure still intact
– Pullback into clean H4 OB zone + unfilled FVG
– 1H wick rejection & MACD weakening bear momentum
– Volume compression near discount zone
– NZD softening + GBP stable = sentiment favoring GBP
📌 Status: Waiting for clean LTF confirmation inside zone (1st touch pending)
📍 Entry Zones:
Primary Buy Zone: 2.2575 – 2.2605
(Refined H4 OB with liquidity pocket and imbalance overlap)
Secondary Buy Zone: 2.2520 – 2.2540
(Deeper sweep zone below intraday liquidity; last defense)
❗ Stop Loss:
SL: 2.2470 (Below OB, last liquidity wick, and invalidation structure)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 2.2720 🥉 (Last minor swing high)
TP2: 2.2805 🥈 (Equal highs + H4 inefficiency)
TP3: 2.2890 🏆 (D1 supply zone & range high)
📏 Risk:Reward: Minimum R:R = 1:3.1
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY:
– Risk 1%–2% depending on account type
– Once TP1 hits → move SL to BE
– Secure partials at TP2
– Let runner target TP3 with trailing SL above structure lows
– Re-entry only allowed on fresh confirmation post TP1
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria:
– H1 bullish engulfing or pin bar inside entry zone
– Volume uptick on entry candle close
– Preferably during London or NY session
– Bonus: M15–M30 divergence or inducement confirmation
⏳ Trade Validity:
Valid for 2–4 days (HTF swing structure – moderate cycle)
❌ Invalidate if price closes below 2.2470 or H4 BOS to downside
🌐 Fundamentals & Sentiment Confluence:
✅ COT shows GBP neutral-to-positive flow
✅ NZD weakness driven by soft dairy exports + RBNZ dovish tone
✅ Global sentiment = neutral to mild risk-on, favoring GBP cyclical strength
✅ No major red news for either currency in next 24h = ideal execution window
📋 Final Summary:
Looking to buy GBPNZD on a retracement into refined demand zone between 2.2575–2.2605, aligned with D1 bullish structure and H4 rejection confluence. Tight institutional structure, optimal risk curve, and clean invalidation zone. Confirmation required – DO NOT ENTER EARLY. This is a controlled swing entry with >1:3 R:R potential.
📅 Date: April 2, 2025
🔖 Plan Type: Main Swing Plan
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal – D1 Discount Rejection
📌 Trade Idea: Buying into D1 pullback structure for continuation to weekly range high
📥 Entry Type: H4 Demand Zone + Liquidity Sweep + FVG Alignment
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences:
– D1 strong bullish BOS structure still intact
– Pullback into clean H4 OB zone + unfilled FVG
– 1H wick rejection & MACD weakening bear momentum
– Volume compression near discount zone
– NZD softening + GBP stable = sentiment favoring GBP
📌 Status: Waiting for clean LTF confirmation inside zone (1st touch pending)
📍 Entry Zones:
Primary Buy Zone: 2.2575 – 2.2605
(Refined H4 OB with liquidity pocket and imbalance overlap)
Secondary Buy Zone: 2.2520 – 2.2540
(Deeper sweep zone below intraday liquidity; last defense)
❗ Stop Loss:
SL: 2.2470 (Below OB, last liquidity wick, and invalidation structure)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 2.2720 🥉 (Last minor swing high)
TP2: 2.2805 🥈 (Equal highs + H4 inefficiency)
TP3: 2.2890 🏆 (D1 supply zone & range high)
📏 Risk:Reward: Minimum R:R = 1:3.1
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY:
– Risk 1%–2% depending on account type
– Once TP1 hits → move SL to BE
– Secure partials at TP2
– Let runner target TP3 with trailing SL above structure lows
– Re-entry only allowed on fresh confirmation post TP1
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria:
– H1 bullish engulfing or pin bar inside entry zone
– Volume uptick on entry candle close
– Preferably during London or NY session
– Bonus: M15–M30 divergence or inducement confirmation
⏳ Trade Validity:
Valid for 2–4 days (HTF swing structure – moderate cycle)
❌ Invalidate if price closes below 2.2470 or H4 BOS to downside
🌐 Fundamentals & Sentiment Confluence:
✅ COT shows GBP neutral-to-positive flow
✅ NZD weakness driven by soft dairy exports + RBNZ dovish tone
✅ Global sentiment = neutral to mild risk-on, favoring GBP cyclical strength
✅ No major red news for either currency in next 24h = ideal execution window
📋 Final Summary:
Looking to buy GBPNZD on a retracement into refined demand zone between 2.2575–2.2605, aligned with D1 bullish structure and H4 rejection confluence. Tight institutional structure, optimal risk curve, and clean invalidation zone. Confirmation required – DO NOT ENTER EARLY. This is a controlled swing entry with >1:3 R:R potential.
Trade active
Almost hit tp1, entry to be with partial close.Trade closed: target reached
TP2 ALMOST HIT!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.