This pair has been quite heavy since it broke the wedge at ~1.95. There's a chance that the PMI's data coming out this week could be the signal for at least a little bit of a pound rebound. Though i'm not suggesting that'll buy the GBPNZD if that happens, waiting for a chance to sell is what i'm really waiting for. Here's why:
- It broke down a big wedge (with failed retest) and it has accelerated the down move since then.
- The target for the broken wedge is not there yet, it points out to the 1.855 area.
- Wedge target coincides with the 2.618 fib level.
There's a chance that it'll rebound from here and if i get a clear signal tomorrow (i'll post it if i do) i, i'll go for a small counter trend move. Here's why:
- Daily RSI already showed support here before.
- There's some divergence on the 4hr chart.
- 1.618 fib level support.
It could also go for a third drive and only rebound at the 0.236 of the bigger picture and then rebound. That's not very likely since it's already diverging on the 4hr.
No position yet.
Cheers