Looking at GBPNZD, we've had a double break of structure here on the one hour chart with both impulse moves being very solid as money floods into the pound against the New Zealand dollar. Looking to see if we can pull back into the green demand area which I've drawn out. If we can pull back into this area and the chart starts to give me an idea that we are going to start heading higher (things like a break of structure on the five minute chart or trendline break a couple of indicators indicating that we're going to start heading higher) I'm going to look to start building a position around this demand area and moving it back up into the next two supply zones, which I've drawn out. Ideally I want to head to the top supply zone, but we may not make it that far depending on how we react off of this next area.
Overall, I was looking for a bullish New Zealand dollar, which obviously meant a bearish bias on this chart long term, however given the whole reason I was looking for a bullish New Zealand dollar was because the Aussie dollar has shown a lot of strength and it usually coincides. We have seen a bit of difference and with the pound starting to pump in a little bit after being such a weak valued currency, I think we could start seeing the potential to move higher, especially on these lower time frames.
Let me know what your analysis on this pair and if you think this is going to play out. I'll update you as we move closer into this area in a few hours to have a discussion about where I truly think at the entry points will be or whether or not we'll leave the trade alone.
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