After months of a persistent downtrend within a clearly defined descending channel, GBP/USD is showing signs of a potential reversal from the lower bounds of the structure. The pair is currently trading near a key support level at 1.2135, and the RSI indicator suggests oversold conditions, hinting at the possibility of a bullish recovery.
Technical Breakdown:
Descending Channel: The price has respected the downward-sloping channel, bouncing off its boundaries several times. Currently, the pair is at the lower edge, which has historically acted as a strong support zone.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Key support levels: 1.2135 and 1.2054.
Upside targets: 1.2305, 1.2450, and potentially 1.2616 if bullish momentum intensifies.
Bullish Divergence: Momentum indicators (e.g., RSI) are beginning to show divergence, indicating waning bearish momentum and the potential for a reversal.
My Expectation:
I anticipate a consolidation around the current levels, followed by a breakout to the upside. A bounce towards 1.2305 and 1.2450 is on the cards, with the possibility of further gains if the pair breaches the descending channel’s upper boundary. This move would align with broader market dynamics and technical recovery patterns.
Strategy:
For traders, this could be a great opportunity to watch for bullish confirmations such as a breakout of minor resistance levels or strong candlestick formations at support. Tight stop losses below 1.2054 can manage downside risks.