I've been playing the short side, but have also been expecting a reversal. I expected 1.45658 to hold and to be a turning point. I was impatient and made a poor decision to enter a long trade expecting at least a modest pullback (~20 pips) at 1.460 - 1.455. Now that support has failed, the question is where does it go from here and what side of the trade do you take? Is this way over done and a significant correction due or will the bears remain in control?
Although I don't trade Monthly or Weekly charts, they often can provide valuable information.
Monthly Chart:
Possible Crab formation. If it's a Crab pattern, there is a ton of down side remaining.
Weekly Chart:
Fib 113% extension area could also be a possible reversal zone (or target for shorts) and it is ~126 pips from current price.
I'm on the side lines and will wait for further price action to determine how or if I'll trade this next week. Without a very strong reversal and a move above 1.500, I'm leaning towards playing the short side and entering after confirmation of key resistance holding.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.