GBPUSD Insight

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Key Points
- The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged while lowering this year’s growth forecast from 2.1% to 1.7%. The FOMC’s dot plot suggests an additional 50bps rate cut in total for the year.
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the impact of tariffs on inflation would be temporary. While the likelihood of a recession has slightly increased, he does not see it as highly probable.
- U.S. President Donald Trump mentioned that he had a very good call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and stated that Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations are progressing smoothly.
- In Turkey, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, a key rival to President Erdoğan, was arrested on charges of corruption and supporting terrorist organizations, raising concerns about Erdoğan’s prolonged rule.

Key Economic Events This Week
+ March 20 – Bank of England Interest Rate Decision

GBPUSD Chart Analysis
After breaking above the 1.27000 level, GBPUSD has shown a sharp uptrend and is currently forming around the 1.30000 level. While the upward momentum has slightly slowed, this appears to be due to entering a resistance zone. Further gains could extend to 1.31000, where a new direction will be determined. If the price faces resistance at this level, a pullback to 1.28000 is expected. On the other hand, if the resistance is broken, the pair could rally toward 1.35000.

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