Here’s an advanced technical insight:
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1. Structure Analysis
The chart demonstrates a bullish structure in the GBP/USD 1-hour timeframe, characterized by:
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price is respecting an ascending channel, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
The Support 1 level (~1.2600) has transitioned from resistance to support, confirming a breakout and potential continuation of the uptrend.
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2. Supertrend Confirmation (10, 3)
The Supertrend indicator aligns with the bullish bias as the price is above the green Supertrend line.
Supertrend crossover (red to green) indicates a potential reversal in momentum, which occurred earlier in the demand zone.
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3. Demand and Support Levels
Support 1 (~1.2600): A critical intraday level, likely to act as a short-term pivot point for bulls. If retested, it could provide an opportunity for re-entry.
Demand Zone (1.2400–1.2500): A broader accumulation zone based on historical price reactions and the swing low, providing stronger support in case of a deeper correction.
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4. Price Action within the Ascending Channel
The pair is trading in a tight ascending channel, with clear upper and lower boundaries.
The midline of the channel can act as dynamic support/resistance.
The dashed arrow projection suggests that bulls may target the channel’s upper resistance (~1.2700).
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5. Probable Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
If the price sustains above Support 1 and remains inside the ascending channel, expect continuation toward:
Short-Term Target: 1.2650 (minor resistance).
Mid-Term Target: 1.2700 (channel resistance).
Bearish Scenario:
A break below the ascending channel’s lower boundary (~1.2600) could invalidate the bullish bias.
Potential downside levels:
1.2550 (local horizontal support).
1.2500–1.2400 (Demand Zone).
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6. Trade Ideas
Long Setup
Entry: Wait for a pullback to Support 1 (~1.2600) or channel lower boundary.
Target: 1.2650, 1.2700.
Stop Loss: Below 1.2580 (to avoid being caught in a false breakout).
Short Setup (Countertrend):
Entry: If price breaks below the channel (~1.2600).
Target: 1.2550, then 1.2500.
Stop Loss: Above 1.2635 (to account for a false breakout).
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7. Risk Management
Use proper risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:2).
Position sizing is critical; align trades with your account's risk tolerance.